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When HHMI supports a person, they are selecting those people who seem most promising. If an organization funds grant proposals, they have to assess what they imagine will be productive investment. I would suggest that on that point there may be a confusion about what is cause or effect. Later in the episode, Collison talks about the significant difference in returns for the Howard Hughes Medical Institute (HHMI) grants, which fund a person rather than a specific grant proposal. Yet in a given domain - especially where our current dominant paradigm has gotten it wrong - there will still be opportunities for someone to have the insights that contribute to a paradigm shift. That isn’t a “problem” to solve, simply a reality that per person grasp of the frontiers will inevitably shrink in proportion to the whole. Yet, as it grows, that is inevitably less possible and any one individual can manage deep knowledge that touches the frontier for a smaller and smaller part of the whole. If you imagine accumulated scientific knowledge as an expanding sphere, in earlier days one individual could get their arms around large parts of that sphere. Compare that challenge today with what it would have been hundreds of years ago. And so I think that kind of data is thought-provoking.Ĭonsider what would be required to become a “Renaissance man” with significant understanding of many different fields.
You have to sort of accumulate more comprehension, understanding, of, you know, more different fields. It takes more time to get to the frontier of knowledge. Right? … it is of course also very consistent with a picture of: It is just getting harder to discover things. And again, this is kind of thought-provoking. Whereas, today, across, essentially all fields, all Nobel Prizes, that has grown by 10 years to about 47. And in particular they observe that over the course of the Nobel Prize, in the early days, the average age of a scientist who won was about 37 years old. Patrick Collison: (my emphasis added) … Ben Jones and Bruce Weinberg have done some kind of neat analysis of just the profiles of Nobel Prize winners.
Learn new magic spells and skills.Most of my career has been involved in scientific research, so this episode has personal interest to me.
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